As China's new Communist Party leader Xi Jinping gets ready to take over as President in early March 2013, supporters of the Dalai Lama are hopeful that the new leader will be able to affect a softer stance on Tibet. That may very well be the case but like Hu Jintao, Xi Jinping is no political strongman and therefore any changes to the Communist Party’s approach to the Tibet issue will have to be by party consensus and it would help if the political leaders of the Tibetans in exile understood this, and do their part.
Not only must Dr. Lobsang Sangay and the CTA win over the new leader but more critically, they must not create any reason for Xi not to have the necessary consensus should he decide to pursue a more liberal policy towards the troubled state.
As it is, the consensus within the Communist Party is that the Tibetan leaders are adopting a “splittist” stance, no doubt brought about by the many anti-Chinese rhetoric hurled at them at every possible opportunity. The Sikyong Lobsang Sangay and the CTA will have to work very hard to change that image.
It is said that after the 1989 uprising, Hu Jintoa wanted to soften the Party’s hardline approach to Tibet, in part due to his recognition that the Tibetan people were getting increasingly frustrated as their culture was being marginalized. Hu sought to make changes by issuing a decree to “protect Tibetan culture” at the beginning of the year 2000 but his plans were dashed when Dharamsala widely accused China of a planned cultural genocide. Consensus turned against the exiled Tibetan leaders again, worsened after the 2008 riots and continues till this day as cases of self-immolations increase and the CTA continues to fail to do its part to placate and calm the exiled population, frustrated from over half a century of false hopes.
During the 2008 unrests and as Communist Party leaders, military officials and even ordinary citizens labeled the Dalai Lama as a "jackal in Buddhist monk's robes" Xi Jinping stood alone in his opinion and commented: “We should have normal hearts” [Source;
http://in.reuters.com/article/2012/09/01/china-tibet-xi-jinping-idINDEE88002I20120901] . Xi, perhaps due to the influence of his Buddhist wife, is a supporter of the religion and in 2006 as the Party leader of Zhejiang Province, took extraordinary measures to host the First Buddhist World Forum. Since then two other subsequent meetings on such forum had been held.
In recent years China with the blessing of the leadership seems to be ready to embrace Buddhism. Faith it seems is beginning to fill an ideological and spiritual vacuum left by the Moa Zedong era. In 2008 the Venerable Master Hsing Yun, the top monk of Taiwan and the Abbot of Fo Guan San Monastery was allowed to visit China for the first time, after being banned for allowing his temple near Los Angeles to provide sanctuary to Xu Jiatun (the then China’s ambassador to British-ruled Hong Kong) whom the Communist Party regarded as a dissident for supporting the student-led demonstrations for democracy. Since then the Master Hsing Yun has even been allowed to build a temple in Yixing, Jiangsu province and even conduct regular spiritual and cultural activities in China.
Then in 2010, the Communist Party gave its permission for the Tzu Chi Foundation, a Taiwanese Buddhist Organization to open up its China chapter in Suzhou. It is important to remember that Taiwan and China have not had the best of relationships but as the Asian giant opened up, Taiwan took the cue and benefitted from it. Tibetan leaders need to take a long and hard look at their stance towards a powerhouse that they have no way of overcoming but instead must win over.
Very clearly the Chinese government is operating an open policy towards Buddhism and has invested considerably in it and even welcomed participation from Taiwan that it previously regarded with some suspicion. Why isn’t the CTA using this ready platform to engage with the Chinese instead of its customary hostilities towards a nation so powerful today that even the rest of the world has learned that it is far better to be China’s friend. The CTA has nothing to offer the Chinese in exchange for its autonomy other than its co-operation that is the last albeit significant piece of a jigsaw that would could complete China’s peaceful integration of the Tibetan Buddhist culture into its own.
If the CTA is sincere in its goals - that it merely wishes to preserve the Tibetan culture, to have freedom of religion under China’s sovereignty and to be able to operate autonomously, then the onus is on the CTA to prove it. As the first measure, the CTA needs to show that indeed it does place a high value on the freedom of religion that China has already demonstrated that it is prepared to offer all citizens. It is very much the CTA that has to shift and do so by removing the Dorje Shugden ban.