I heard from a close friend of mine some ten years ago that the Dalai Lama has said that there would not be a 15th Dalai Lama after his death.
This recent interview of His Holiness, reconfirm what has been in my thoughts.
Historically, since the great fifth, the Dalai Lama has always been holding two hats, that of the head of the country and the head of the Gelupa sect.
As the chances of having Tibet to be freed from China is slim or to zero, there wouldn't be any need for the next incarnation of Chenrizig to come back as the 15th Dalai Lama to carry out the political role as the head of the country. Having said this, that does not mean Chenrizig would not reincarnate back, but as another role.
Dalai Lama has already paved the way for a democratically elected Tibetan administration to function after his passing. After voicing many times that he would like to step down as the political head of CTA, he finally resigned in March last year 2011 and handed over his political power in CTA to the current newly elected prime minister, Dr Lobsang sangay. This is another sign that there would not be a need for a 15th Dalai Lama as the system of a democratically elected prime minister is set in place to head the Tibetan administration.
Politically Dalai Lama has prepared himself to be replaced, but how about spiritually? If there is no 15th Dalai Lama as he said, who could be the next head of the Gelupa? Can a hand-picked candidate by the current Dalai Lama serve that purpose of continuing the Tsongkhapa lineage? Even the 101th Ganden Tripa, highly regarded as the representation of Tsongkhapa on earth has defected to Shar Gaden Monastery after his tenure last year.
For me, the only one that carried that weight as the current Dalai Lama is none other than Dorje Shugden, remember Tulku Drakpa Gyeltsen is back and among us now? He may not have been officially recognised now, but I believe the truth will be revealed as the ban is lifted.
Like What Positive Change has mentioned, a new renaissance in the history of Buddhism may begin…..