The thing is that the massive majority of the Chinese nationals will (are) seeking spiritual answers and by extension a spiritual practice. The governement cares for its people and knows of the growing call for the Chinese to take part of a spiritual tradition.
This tradition will be (is) that of Buddhism, that of Dorje Shugden, this is already set today, it is clear.
This is and will remain the tradition that is the tradition supported by the givernement.
This for two main reasons:
1.
It makes historical sense a various levels.
a. It is the Kadampa tradition embraced by the emperors of China
b. It is a spiritual tradition that is able to embrace the Taoisme and Confusianism
c. It is a tradition that can reconcile all existing Buddhist traditions in China
d. It (Buddhism) is the most succesful tradtion in China now, as it was yesterday
2.
It is the only spiritual tradition (across all religions) of which the Chinese governement trust its predicators, and its lamas.
This fact remains whether the ban is lifted or not, and I dare say that this ban is no more relevant today for that matter, whatever it is that the Dalai Lama had in mind, only the CTA and a few others really care about this ban today.
China does not care about it anymore, I think.
Why? Because there are already many lamas that have nothing to do with the Dalai Lama, that are in China and outside of China, that do not campaign for any independance of Tibet, that do not get involved with politics, that are supporting China and its governement and that do what monks are supposed to do: they work to help others, to work for peace and harmony, they don't value an ethnic Tibetan more than an ethnic Chinese or anyone else for that matter, they don't practice discrimination.
So why would the Chinese governement still be bothered by a ban on Dorje Shugden or a lift of this ban?
The future of lama Tsongkhaa's doctrine is in China.
The teachers that will make headlines after the Dalai Lama passes away will come from China or will be Dorje Shugden lamas outside of China that are friends with China.
After the Dalai Lama passes away, Dharamsala will slowly become a place unknown to the majority of the world.
And the ban will hardly make it into history books, just as it hardly makes it in any large news network today.
Those that work, or worked for the lifting of the ban do see the result today: the ban is already no more than a weak threat, because most of those (ironically not for the Tibetan in exhile themselves - IRONIC!) that are threatened have nothing to fear, and the ones that work to implement the ban operate in a shrinking realm.
So the ban, I think, has become almost irrelevant to the Chinese governement.
My thoughts.
Good point, Big Uncle. I do think that the Chinese would continue to be supportive of Dorje Shugden though. After all, their HH Panchen Lama has a huge Dorje Shugden statue in his monastery, Tashi Lhunpo. Also, the Chinese would have developed relationships with the Dorje Shugden lamas, such as HE Gangchen Rinpoche, HH 101st Ganden Trisur Rinpoche.
Dorje Shugden practitioners appear to have not created any political upheavals in China. As far as I know, none of the monks who have self-immolated have been Dorje Shugden practitioners. Being very simplistic, the Chinese are basically just interested in two main things - a stable, law-abiding people and economic growth. As long as Dorje Shugden practitioners appear to tow the line, there should be no reason for the Chinese to react against them.