One thing's for sure is that HH Dalai Lama is out of Tibet and looks like there is not much hope of returning for good. Let's look at the state of affairs:
Chinese Foreign Ministry in their response to Reuters' in Dec 2015 has stated that the government of the Tibet Autonomous Region fully respect the rights of citizens to freedom of belief, and that "Whether to believe or not in the protecting deity 'Dorje Shugden' is totally a free and private matter for religious followers."
In January this year, Markham County (Chamdo) had officially issued a public notice out regarding crack down on "violation of law using the issue of Protector Dorje Shugden practice to create social conflict in the society' (see attached).
While monks are being expelled in exile for practising Dorje Shugden, monks and nuns are expelled and persecuted if they are devoted to HH Dalai Lama in Tibet.
In Lithang, a few days before HH Dalai Lama's birthday earlier this month, the local authorities had summoned a meeting in which they instructed the representatives from the monasteries to keep the celebration small and to make sure pictures or videos of the event does not get out.
According to Tibet Post International, in order to have enough participants for the recent Panchen Lama's teaching, the Chinese government made a decree stating that, every Tibetan family in Shigatse city must provide at least two participants for the Chinese Panchen's Kalachakra initiation (
http://www.thetibetpost.com/en/news/tibet/5102-two-people-per-family-mandated-to-attend-fake-panchens-teaching)
HH Dalai Lama has brought much exposure and one of the main contributors of Tibetan Buddhism being widely known and accepted in the world today. HH continues to do that outside of Tibet and doing a fabulous job, latest news was that Lady Gaga was so impressed she has asked the Dalai Lama to officiate her wedding to Taylor Kinney.
Inside of Tibet, Lamas continue to promote Dorje Shugden, for example in the case of the 20th Denma Gonsar Rinpoche who has huge influence, Lama Jampa Ngodup Wangchuk Rinpoche a famous Shugden lama who was sent by the Chinese Government to give Dharma teachings in Switzerland and so on.
Whatever it is, whether HH Dalai Lama was helped out of Tibet or expel, it is clear to us that the results is the propogation and spread of Tibetan Buddhism and Dorje Shugden lineage simultaneously. Although the ban may seem an obstacles, but it is creating causes for Dorje Shugden to be 'used' by the Chinese and hence the Chinese will continue to promote and support Dorje Shugden practice and Dorje Shugden lamas.
What I can't wait to see is the day that Panchen Lama gives Dorje Shugden initiation, backed by the Chinese.