Please, do not lynch me anyone, but here is my view...
For those who think HHDL is an imposter / politician who has his own interests at heart, if HHDL reincarnates and is recognised and enthroned again, wouldnt it be a sign that..............
..........What do you think?
It is a sign of nothing.
No matter what is the actual spiritual status of the current Dalai Lama, when he dies, the Chinese Communists will of course recognize their own rebirth-candidate, enthrone him, and indoctrinate him. The Tibetan Party will panic, and quick'a'find their own candidate, promote him, and so forth.
As to whatever has happened to the "real Dalai" is something that only Buddha knows, for no-one in the upcoming "years of promoting their own candidates" will have any interest in the truth of it all. It will be feudal faction against feudal faction once again, as it has always been, albeit now it has reached global proportions. The Panchen-issue and the Karmapa-issue will be nothing compared to what's coming. We, humans, will be left with two "next Dalais" upheld by two opposing political camps, the Chinese Party and the Tibetan Party. At that point, nobody is interested in what happened to the real thing. At that point, all that matters is that whose candidate gets the most of support in the
important circles. (My bet: Chinese Dalai will get the political approval of all Western Countries, and the Tibetan Dalai will be upheld by TGIE and associated tibetofascist groups, ie. Youth Congress, et al.) There will be no place for truth. It will be stately politics from the beginning to the end. The "real thing" will in all likelihood be somewhere else, not recognized by anyone.
And now, my bet of the following 25 years: It will also be the end of Tibetan Buddhism as a unitary whole. Also the end of Tibet. The courageous traditions and lineages will withdraw into themselves, and self-declare themselves as independent of any state (as some have already done), and the wussy lineages will coalesce around the TGIE-approved baby, known also as the contestant to the title of Dalai Lama XV. The Tibetan State, in China, will be engulfed permanently into China, by the smiling approval of all the other Nations of the UN, and the TGIE-faction will, after the majority of the exiled Buddhist traditions of Tibet have "flown away" into freedom from both China and TGIE, form a "Jasser Arafat type" of terrorist army, that tries to get China out of Tibet, and also "suspicious tibetans" (read, those who bow to the "wrong" Karmapa, "wrong" protectors, etc) out of TGIE-controlled territories, ie refugee areas in India. They indeed will do so, since their "Leader" is at that time just a baby, so now the psychopaths in the organizations will be the New Lords, and believe me, they will show their strength (and non-buddhist attitudes).The free and proud traditions will walk away and find homes outside of China and India, the China-engulfed monasteries will remain loyal to China, and the TGIE with their XV-Baby Lama will become pariahs of the world. Sad future. I do hope I'm mistaken in my prognosis, but sadly, I usually ain't.